«Minorities at Risk Organisations: Terrorism, Insurgency, State Repression, and Cycles of Violence», by Muller and Pecher, who examine the dynamic relationships between organizations representing minorities at risk and the government in MENA countries.
«Social Policies and State Capacity in Developing Countries», by Dodlova and Muller, which estimates the impact of state capacity on the development of social transfers in developing countries, including MENA countries.
«Fatalities from Social Unrest and Terrorism during the Egyptian Revolution», by Ayad and Muller, analyzes the processes explaining the victims during the Egyptian Revolution, and contrasting those during the demonstrations and during the terrorist attacks.
«Remittances and economic wellbeing» in Morocco, by Bouoiyour, Muller and Miftah, studies the determinants of migrations and remittances of Moroccan migrants and their consequences for the standard of living of families of origin.
«Latent-Social Classes: Disappearance of the Egyptian’s Middle Class and the Political Transition », by Muller and Ndoye, provides a regression mixture analysis that identifies latent social classes in Egypt from 1999 to 2012. Estimates reveal the presence of three distinct segments of the middle classes before 2010, before one of them disappears just before the Egyptian revolution in parallel with a drastic increase in the number of poor. These results suggest that the middle class was particularly affected by the crises in Egypt during this period, which helps to explain its determining role during the Revolution.
«Group Violence, Ethnic Diversity, And Citizen Participation: Evidence From Indonesia», by Muller and Vothneckt, studies how inter-group violence reveals how ethnic or social solidarity affects local community activities in Indonesia.
«Frustrations and Arab Spring: Exploration using the Arab Barometer”, by Muller, explores the role of economic and psychological frustrations in explaining individual radicalization during the Arab Spring. :EN-US;mso
«Local Determinants of the Syrian Conflict », by Hannafi and Muller, show that the rate of local victims during the war in Syria follows a dynamic process that involves migration. 0
« Incentives and Self-Selection in Fostering Violence Levels in Conflicts» by Lavie and Muller, proposes a theoretical model of strategic general equilibrium that describes the emergence of violence in society, and includes economic, security and psychological motivations.
«Social Shock Sharing and Stochastic Dominance», by Muller, proposes new axioms of social sharing of shocks and new criteria of stochastic dominance. These tools are applied to the case of Egypt at the beginning of the twenty-first century and show that the revolution could not be caused by an overall decline in social welfare or an increase in inequality, even in simultaneously taking into account income and education.
«Development Aid and Political Participation», by Dodlova, P
«Conflict Intensity and Development Aid : an Empirical Case Study on Iraq», by Dodlova and Daub: In the cases of Iraq and Malawi, Dodlova finds that development aid can increase political participation and the propensity to participate in political demonstrations when the political environment is stable, while it engenders violent conflict. in case of instability. The mechanisms causing the controversial effects of social assistance on violence are examined.
«Unexpected instability events and internal migration in Egypt», by M. Ayad, Mona Said and Dina Abd-Elfattah, show how terrorism events in Egypt affect internal migrations.
«Conflict, Economic Activity and Aid in Sub-Saharan Africa », by Ahmed Sadek Yousuf, explores the dynamics between conflict intensity, Economic Activity and (World Bank) Development Aid in Sub-Saharan Africa exploiting a Spatial Vector Autoregressive model with multi stage Generalized Methods of Moments estimation. Subsequent impulse response analyses shows conflict intensity reacts positively to negative shocks in economic activity and World Bank Aid, with evidence of persistent spillover effects stemming from aforementioned shocks.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1MaF_AlyJWeeyKzxZIGqkqH7p8QftN32s/view?usp=sharing
«Spatial Exponential Feedback Modelling of Conflict and Inequality», by Ahmed Sadek Yousuf, looks into the effect of sub-regional income inequality, as measured from night lights satellite sourced data and LandScan sourced population raster data, on conflict count in Sub-Saharan Africa in a Spatial Dynamic Exponential Feedback Model. This model is in contrast to the Linear feedback Model as utilized in the literature, which assumes additive disturbance terms, as opposed to multiplicative disturbance terms in this study.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/17WMdZ3Fti_dObBrApdr_L8PLU3nWjoep/view?usp=sharing